The New Year began inauspiciously, with global equity and bond markets falling in unison. Commodities proved to be a diversifier, benefiting from strong price gains, particularly in energy. The market downturn was driven by signs that major central banks are poised to reverse the monetary stimulus that has supported the global economy and capital markets during the coronavirus pandemic. Political tensions between the U.S. and Russia and rising Omicron rates in some countries also weighed on investors. While economic growth and corporate earnings surpassed expectations in 2021, rising inflation and interest rates, ongoing supply shortages, and an antagonistic geopolitical environment portend a more difficult year ahead.

RECENT INSIGHTS

June 5, 2026

The Iran war dominated geopolitics in May, with a largely nominal ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz restrictions disrupting about 20%...

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May 7, 2026

The Iran war entered a critical phase in April 2026, marked by a fragile ceasefire, stalled peace negotiations, and an...

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April 15, 2026

Geopolitical risks re‑entered the spotlight in early 2026 with U.S. military intervention in Venezuela and U.S.–Iran tensions escalated, disrupting energy...

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