Investors are deluged daily with data about the economy. Invariably, the data does not emit consistent clues about the direction of the economy. It is important to remember that some data is classified as leading economic indicators that tend to move before changes in the overall economy (akin to a driver looking out front through the windshield). Other data is classified as coincident indicators, and the last group is classified as lagging indicators that tend to move after changes in the overall economy, (akin to a driver looking in the rearview mirror).

RECENT INSIGHTS

June 5, 2026

The Iran war dominated geopolitics in May, with a largely nominal ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz restrictions disrupting about 20%...

READ MORE
May 7, 2026

The Iran war entered a critical phase in April 2026, marked by a fragile ceasefire, stalled peace negotiations, and an...

READ MORE
April 15, 2026

Geopolitical risks re‑entered the spotlight in early 2026 with U.S. military intervention in Venezuela and U.S.–Iran tensions escalated, disrupting energy...

READ MORE