Markets and the economy remained on a better-than-expected trajectory so far in 2023. Inflation is higher than desired but has likely peaked, the labor market is still robust with around 3.5% unemployment, and corporate earnings have surpassed low expectations. Even residential housing, which many called for a swift decline in 2023, has defied consensus reflecting a slight decline in mortgage rates paired with still low levels of supply. Markets reflected this ‘better than expected’ mentality with positive results across most core areas in April. This brought year-to-date gains to levels that most investors would be happy with for the full year despite being only four months into the year.

RECENT INSIGHTS

June 5, 2026

The Iran war dominated geopolitics in May, with a largely nominal ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz restrictions disrupting about 20%...

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May 7, 2026

The Iran war entered a critical phase in April 2026, marked by a fragile ceasefire, stalled peace negotiations, and an...

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April 15, 2026

Geopolitical risks re‑entered the spotlight in early 2026 with U.S. military intervention in Venezuela and U.S.–Iran tensions escalated, disrupting energy...

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