Investors are deluged daily with data about the economy. Invariably, the data does not emit consistent clues about the direction of the economy. It is important to remember that some data is classified as leading economic indicators that tend to move before changes in the overall economy (akin to a driver looking out front through the windshield). Other data is classified as coincident indicators, and the last group is classified as lagging indicators that tend to move after changes in the overall economy, (akin to a driver looking in the rearview mirror).

RECENT INSIGHTS

September 10, 2026

August presented a mixed economic backdrop, as inflation remained above the Federal Reserve’s target, labor market conditions softened, and consumer...

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September 10, 2026

July was dominated by renewed escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict and rising disruption risk around the Strait of Hormuz, driving...

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September 10, 2026

Geopolitical conditions remain unsettled, particularly in the Middle East. Developments involving Iran have moved in and out of focus, with...

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